Gurrea vs Jacetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ZUE
2 - 1
GUR
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 0
GUR
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GUR
4 - 2
CFV
32%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 1
GUR
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GUR
1 - 1
ADT
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jacetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CFJ
1 - 1
BAN
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZUE
2 - 1
CFJ
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CFJ
1 - 0
UDM
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 0
CFJ
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CFJ
2 - 1
CDA
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |