Gurrea vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 3
GUR
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GUR
1 - 0
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAA
0 - 1
GUR
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GUR
3 - 2
CDA
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAD
2 - 1
GUR
48%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 1
PFR
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RAN
2 - 0
UDC
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UDC
4 - 1
CFJ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 0
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 3
UDC
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |