Gunzwil vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
GUN
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
FCA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
GUN
1 - 0
RUS
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 1
GUN
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUN
2 - 3
GOL
34%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
GOL
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SAR
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 5
ESC
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |