Gunzwil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
86.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.4%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GUN
1 - 4
LUG
2%
7%
91%
|
18 | 73 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GUN
2 - 0
VER
35%
23%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUN
2 - 4
ESC
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BUO
4 - 0
GUN
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GUN
1 - 7
ZOF
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
6 - 1
YVE
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
STA
0 - 3
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
5 - 1
FCP
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |