Gunzwil vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.8%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
91%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20.2%
0-4
12.1%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
16.1%
0-5
8.2%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
10.5%
0-6
4.7%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.7%
0-7
2.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.7%
0-8
1%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GUN
2 - 0
VER
35%
23%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUN
2 - 4
ESC
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BUO
4 - 0
GUN
89%
8%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GUN
1 - 7
ZOF
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KUS
2 - 1
GUN
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
STG
0 - 2
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
LUG
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 1
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 3
LUG
5%
12%
82%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |