Gungahlin vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
3º
35
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUN
0 - 1
OKF
41%
22%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COO
1 - 2
GUN
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUN
1 - 3
CAN
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUN
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 3
GUN
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
MON
63%
19%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 2
WWF
93%
5%
1%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 1
COO
56%
20%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MDT
3 - 1
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 4
CAN
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |