Gungahlin vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
75.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
GUN
2 - 2
COO
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GUN
0 - 1
RIR
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
GUN
2 - 3
CAN
15%
17%
67%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GUN
2 - 3
CAN
15%
16%
70%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
GUN
2 - 1
BEL
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
CAN
5 - 0
MON
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GUN
2 - 3
CAN
15%
16%
70%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 1
CAN
48%
23%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
TUG
2 - 2
CAN
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAN
4 - 1
WWF
89%
8%
4%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |