Gumushanespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+196%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
14º
13º
35
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gumushanespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IKG
2 - 1
GUM
8%
15%
77%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 1
EDI
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GUM
0 - 0
DAR
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
GUM
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUM
0 - 2
ORD
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Karabük İdman Yurdu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KIY
1 - 1
AYV
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MBB
4 - 0
KIY
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
KIY
0 - 0
BAR
9%
14%
77%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | +2 |