Gullegem vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
8º
17º
11º
53
3º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gullegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OUD
2 - 1
GUL
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUL
3 - 1
DIK
35%
26%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
EMU
1 - 1
GUL
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GUL
0 - 0
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EEA
2 - 1
GUL
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 2
MER
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
2 - 1
MER
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
STA
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
MER
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |