Beijing Renhe vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
SHA
34%
23%
43%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DAL
2 - 1
GUI
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BEI
3 - 4
GUI
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
QIN
3 - 1
HEN
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 0
QIN
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
QIN
3 - 1
LIA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
QIN
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
QIN
1 - 2
DAL
41%
27%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |