Beijing Renhe vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 1
GUI
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
HAN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 1
GUI
30%
29%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
LIA
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
TIT
1 - 2
GUI
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HEN
4 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 0
HEN
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
HEN
2 - 2
SHA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
QIN
1 - 1
HEN
35%
24%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 1
HEN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |