Beijing Renhe vs Chengdu Blades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
HEN
1 - 0
GUI
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUI
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 2
QIN
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
TIT
1 - 0
GUI
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chengdu Blades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
WUH
0 - 3
CHE
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 4
SHA
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |