Beijing Renhe vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 2
SUW
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 1
GUI
52%
27%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 1
GUI
29%
30%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 1
BEI
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JIA
0 - 2
GUI
48%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
BEI
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JIA
2 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
WUZ
1 - 2
CHA
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
SHA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |