Guitiriz vs Lourenzá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+170%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guitiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OUT
3 - 2
GUI
45%
25%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
GUN
17%
21%
62%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
7 - 0
GUI
88%
9%
4%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 3
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MEI
2 - 2
GUI
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
LOU
41%
24%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
LOU
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
XOV
33%
24%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |