Guiseley vs Shildon AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAI
1 - 1
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 2
MAC
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAI
3 - 0
GUI
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 1
DOV
20%
23%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
WRE
1 - 1
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 3
SHI
50%
23%
26%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SHI
1 - 0
ALT
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
SHI
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 5
SHI
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SHI
2 - 0
MOR
35%
22%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |