Guiseley vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HED
3 - 2
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 1
GAI
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VAU
0 - 5
GUI
17%
21%
63%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
6 - 1
AFC
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
OXF
3 - 3
GUI
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 1
LEA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GLO
5 - 2
TOW
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 1
GAI
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
TOW
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |