Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
EAS
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
GUI
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 1
GUI
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 2
GUI
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 1
GUI
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAU
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 2
GAI
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 1
TOW
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
ALT
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 2
GAI
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |