Guiseley vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 3
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 2
GUI
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 0
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 1
CHO
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 2
CHO
62%
20%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
CUR
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
POS
1 - 2
CHO
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | +2 |