Guiseley vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
GUI
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 0
KID
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 0
ALT
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 0
GUI
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 0
BAR
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 1
DOV
28%
26%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WRE
3 - 0
ALD
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 0
ALD
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 2
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 1
WYC
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |