Guingamp vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
GUI
3 - 1
MPL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUI
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
GUI
4 - 0
SED
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 2
GUI
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
QUE
1 - 0
GUI
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 2
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
TRO
4 - 1
ANG
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 2
STL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2005 |
DIJ
1 - 1
TRO
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 3
ALB
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | -1 |