Guingamp vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 4
CHA
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
SED
2 - 0
GUI
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 2
AJA
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 0
RED
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 0
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
STR
0 - 1
LHA
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 0
STR
26%
26%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
STR
1 - 4
TRO
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |