Guingamp vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
GUI
0 - 0
PSG
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1998 |
LYO
1 - 0
GUI
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
ESW
1 - 2
GUI
17%
24%
59%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
GUI
2 - 0
TFC
50%
28%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
NAN
2 - 0
GUI
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
SOC
4 - 1
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 0
SPO
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
SPO
1 - 1
STL
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASN
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |