Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
NIO
2 - 2
GUI
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
GIR
2 - 0
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
NAN
2 - 3
GUI
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
52%
27%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
2 - 1
PSG
14%
23%
63%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
ASS
5 - 0
SAN
88%
10%
2%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASS
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASS
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
ASS
1 - 1
PSG
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
GIR
1 - 1
ASS
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |