Guingamp vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 0
GUI
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
GUI
1 - 0
ASS
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
STL
0 - 1
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
GUI
0 - 2
FCG
57%
26%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
RED
0 - 0
GUI
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
CAE
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
ESW
2 - 2
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
SED
36%
29%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
STL
1 - 0
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |