Guingamp vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
GUI
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
GUI
0 - 1
DIJ
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 1
GUI
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
STL
1 - 2
ASN
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASN
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 0
TRO
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
DIJ
0 - 1
ASN
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |