Guingamp vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
GUI
2 - 0
MPL
36%
30%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
GUI
1 - 1
CAE
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
LUS
1 - 3
GUI
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
LHA
0 - 1
GUI
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
CAE
1 - 1
ASN
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
ASN
2 - 0
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
MAR
4 - 1
ASN
75%
17%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
ASN
1 - 1
GIR
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |