Guingamp vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
LMU
2 - 3
GUI
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
GUI
2 - 1
FCM
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
ASB
0 - 1
GUI
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
GUI
3 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
VAL
0 - 0
GUI
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
ASN
2 - 1
AMI
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
NIO
0 - 0
ASN
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
OLY
0 - 0
ASN
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
ASN
1 - 1
RED
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |