Guingamp vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
ANG
2 - 1
GUI
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
AMI
1 - 1
GUI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
GUI
1 - 0
AMI
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
GUI
4 - 2
USB
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 1
GUI
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 0
AJA
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 1
DIJ
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
NIO
1 - 0
MPL
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
MPL
3 - 0
TRO
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
USB
2 - 0
MPL
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |