Guingamp vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
GUI
5 - 0
TRO
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
NAN
1 - 1
GUI
63%
22%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 1
FCG
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
DIJ
1 - 0
GUI
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 1
FCL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
MET
4 - 3
LMU
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MET
1 - 2
LOR
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
SOC
0 - 0
MET
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MET
0 - 1
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 0
MET
61%
22%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |