Guingamp vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
GUI
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 3
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
REI
1 - 0
GUI
40%
29%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 1
BRE
63%
22%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
IST
1 - 0
GUI
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
MET
2 - 0
LUS
60%
25%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NIO
1 - 1
MET
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
MPL
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
DIJ
0 - 3
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |