Guingamp vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
REI
3 - 2
GUI
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
GUI
4 - 2
IST
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 0
LUS
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
CLE
2 - 1
GUI
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
AMI
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
LMU
1 - 2
ASN
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
LHA
4 - 1
LMU
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
LMU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
LMU
3 - 0
ANG
60%
25%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 0
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |