Guingamp vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 3
INT
26%
31%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 1
GUI
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
GUI
0 - 1
CAN
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 2
GUI
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
GUI
2 - 1
MON
21%
26%
54%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
LEN
0 - 1
LAZ
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAN
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
MON
5 - 1
LEN
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
LEN
3 - 2
MPL
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NAN
0 - 1
LEN
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |