Guingamp vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 0
LUS
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
CLE
2 - 1
GUI
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
AMI
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 0
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
IST
0 - 2
LIL
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 0
IST
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
IST
0 - 0
LYO
12%
23%
65%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 2
IST
74%
18%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
IST
0 - 2
MAR
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |