Guingamp vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
GUI
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
LHA
0 - 1
GUI
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUI
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
GAZ
66%
20%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 1
GUI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
NIO
0 - 0
STL
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 1
NIO
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
NIO
3 - 1
TOU
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
NÎM
3 - 1
NIO
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 3
SED
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |