Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DIJ
3 - 3
GUI
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 0
PAU
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 2
GUI
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 4
TFC
22%
26%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NÎM
0 - 2
GUI
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 1
AUX
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
PFC
1 - 0
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 1
AMI
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAE
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
DUN
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |