Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
ASN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 3
GUI
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 2
AMI
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PFC
3 - 2
GUI
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 0
GUI
27%
26%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 0
CAE
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
TFC
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 1
CAE
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 4
SOC
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 3
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |