Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
SÈT
1 - 2
GUI
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
GUI
3 - 1
CLE
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 2
STL
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
AMI
0 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 2
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
CAE
3 - 1
BRE
61%
24%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAE
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
CAE
4 - 1
BAS
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
LHA
2 - 0
CAE
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
MPL
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |