Guingamp vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 1
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 1
NIO
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
ESW
2 - 3
GUI
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 0
TFC
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
CSL
0 - 0
GUI
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
CAE
4 - 1
AMI
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2000 |
FCG
4 - 0
CAE
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
LIL
3 - 2
CAE
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 2
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 2
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |