Guingamp vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUI
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 3
GUI
8%
19%
74%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
LUS
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
LHA
1 - 1
CHA
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
DIJ
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |