Guingamp vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 1
GUI
49%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
GUI
18%
22%
60%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 2
MON
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GIR
3 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASS
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 2
NAN
33%
30%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
ANG
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 0
BAS
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |