Guingamp U19 vs Châteauroux U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
8º
26
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 1
GUI
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 0
GUI
64%
18%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 2
GUI
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +4 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Châteauroux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
TRE
77%
14%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
LAV
30%
23%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
CHA
36%
24%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVR
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |