Guingamp II vs Vannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
12º
24
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 1
GUI
78%
15%
6%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 6
CHA
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
STP
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
GUI
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 2
SAI
28%
25%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCR
4 - 2
VAN
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
POI
30%
25%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BLO
2 - 1
VAN
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STA
3 - 3
VAN
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |