Guingamp II vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
8º
3º
3
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
CES
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
0 - 4
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 0
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
80%
13%
6%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
SAI
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CES
1 - 1
FLE
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
LOR
21%
23%
55%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 1
FLE
51%
21%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |