Guingamp II vs Chartres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
12º
20
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 3
GUI
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
13%
20%
68%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
RAC
13%
19%
68%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 1
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Chartres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POI
5 - 1
CHA
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
BLO
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
STA
2 - 2
CHA
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
ASB
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |