Guingamp II vs Chapelle Marais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 1
GUI
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
DIN
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
GUI
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chapelle Marais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
5 - 2
SAI
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
CHA
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
LOC
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 0
CHA
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
GRA
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |