Guingamp II vs Cesson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
8º
3º
1
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 68.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
0 - 4
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 0
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
80%
13%
6%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
SAI
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CES
1 - 1
FLE
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
AFV
15%
17%
68%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
VIT
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CES
1 - 5
LOC
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 3
CES
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |