Guingamp II vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
2º
30
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39.5% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 2
GUI
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GUI
3 - 0
USF
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
GUI
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
ERG
77%
14%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AFV
3 - 0
FLE
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AFV
1 - 0
PON
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 3
AFV
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AFV
1 - 1
USF
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 4
AFV
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |