Guingamp II vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
14º
14º
27
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ASB
0 - 3
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
FBB
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 4
CHA
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
USB
4 - 0
GUI
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 1
DIN
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFV
1 - 0
USB
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 2
AFV
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 1
VOL
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
AFV
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
AUB
34%
26%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |