Guineueta vs UA Horta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
TAR
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
GUI
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 1
PIR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
IGU
2 - 3
GUI
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UA Horta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
UAH
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UAH
1 - 1
UNI
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RUB
4 - 0
UAH
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 3
UAH
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UAH
0 - 2
SMA
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |