Guineueta vs Tona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 1
VIC
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
2 - 1
GUI
34%
24%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
UEL
74%
15%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
GUI
3 - 1
ARG
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TON
2 - 0
PAR
30%
24%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 1
TON
66%
19%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GIR
4 - 1
TON
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TON
0 - 2
VIC
26%
24%
51%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
TON
2 - 3
CVI
34%
25%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |